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Can BJP pull off a repeat performance in Uttar Pradesh? Here is what the odds look like

(This story initially appeared in on Jan 08, 2022)

The stage has been established for the significant-stake 2022 electoral battle in Uttar Pradesh. The Election Commission on Saturday introduced a 7-period poll plan for the state with voting for initial section on February 10 and the very last period on March 7. The effects will be out on March 10.

The 2022 assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh will be a litmus exam for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Celebration (BJP) as it goes all out to not just keep electrical power in the state but also match its historic 2017 functionality.

How critical Uttar Pradesh is for the BJP in the run up to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections can be gauged by the actuality that Primary Minister Narendra Modi has visited the condition 10 situations in the very last two months. PM Modi, alongside with chief minister Yogi Adityanath, has inaugurated numerous projects in the point out, including critical expressways.


The Uttar Pradesh chief minister has gone all out to woo the voters of the state as he potential customers the BJP campaign from the front in the high-stakes election.

In 2017 elections, the BJP had scripted a historic victory in the state – winning 312 assembly seats with a vote share of practically 40 per cent.

This was the BJP’s best efficiency in Uttar Pradesh since it bought into the electoral fray in the condition in 1980.


The celebration not just gained the utmost variety of seats, it also registered its very best-at any time vote share and the very best strike price in the point out.



The hallmark of the 2017 assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh was the number of seats the BJP acquired and also the huge reduction of seats for the Samajwadi Celebration, which was ruling the state from 2012.

Even though the BJP acquired 272 seats, the Samajwadi Occasion missing 188 seats. The Bahujan Samaj Bash and the Congress were being the other major losers in the electoral battle of 2017.

Here’s a glimpse at how the assembly seats were being flipped in 2017.


The 2017 elections in Uttar Pradesh experienced set the BJP on the leading in the operate up to the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. The BJP gained above 60 Lok Sabha seats in the condition aiding the get together protected a big victory in the 2019 national elections.

Now, as the occasion gears up to match its overall performance in the 2022 Uttar Pradesh assembly elections, it is mindful of the very likely effect that the effects of these polls could have on the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.

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